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| Topic: |
Business
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| Number of pages / Number of words: |
3 / 838 |
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dependent var 331110.1
S.E. of regression 82981.43 Akaike info criterion 25.66748
Sum squared resid 5.51E+10 Schwarz criterion 25.72799
Log likelihood -126.3374 F-statistic 135.2932
Durbin-Watson stat 2.640235 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000003
Analysis of the Enron's weather derivatives
(1) Basic Floor
Breakeven: 1,338,000 / 35,750 = 37...
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It means that there is a 95% possibility the HDD next year will fall within this range. The buyers of the weather contracts can get compensation when the HDD is under the strike amount for the unusual warm temperature. Therefore, we arrive at the conclusion that the four types of contracts suggested by Enron are out of the HDD 95% confidence level, which means PNW has very little chance to get compensation or hedge its profit-loss...
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